NCAAB
Furman
Bethune-Cookman
Win Probability
Furman travels to Bethune-Cookman looking to exploit a matchup the model favors clearly. The simulation projects a tight contest, with the outcome hinging on three-point shooting—both teams figure to live and die by the perimeter in a game where 49% of outcomes clear the combined total. AccuScore's model has won 7 of 8 games shaped like this one. For Bethune-Cookman to pull the upset at home, the Cookmen would need to manufacture enough offensive efficiency to overcome Furman's structural advantage in this encounter.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BCU | EV | FUR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +164 | -3.3% | -198 | -1.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +165 | -3.1% | -200 | -1.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | +162 | -3.6% | -195 | -1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +165 | -3.1% | -195 | -1.1% |
| BetRivers ↗ | +165 | -3.1% | -210 | -2.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -8.0% | -110 | +3.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 149.5 | -122 | -5.3% | +100 | +0.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Furman 65% to beat Bethune-Cookman (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Furman the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bethune-Cookman a 35% chance of beating Furman, against 65% for Furman. Bethune-Cookman are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Furman project to finish 16.7–12.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 23% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Bethune-Cookman project to finish 13.8–17.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furman | 16.7–12.3 | 18% | 23% |
| Bethune-Cookman | 13.8–17.2 | 16% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →