UT Martin
Tulane
Win Probability
UT Martin travels to face Tulane in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair that hinges on perimeter shooting: if Tulane's guards can sustain their offensive rhythm while UT Martin's outside game stalls, the visitors face an uphill climb. On games with a similar probability shape across eight past matchups, the favored team won seven times. For UT Martin to pull off the upset, their perimeter weapons would need to operate at peak efficiency while forcing Tulane into an uncharacteristic shooting slump.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | TULN | EV | UTM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -270 | -3.1% | +220 | +0.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -245 | -1.8% | +198 | -3.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -250 | -2.1% | +200 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | -267 | -2.9% | +215 | -0.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -270 | -3.1% | +220 | +0.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 144.5 | -105 | -8.5% | -115 | +3.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -112 | -9.8% | -108 | +5.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | -9.4% | -110 | +4.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | -9.4% | -110 | +4.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 144.5 | -105 | -8.5% | -115 | +3.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 31.5%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Tulane 69% to beat UT Martin (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tulane the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tulane a 69% chance of beating UT Martin, against 32% for UT Martin. Tulane are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UT Martin project to finish 13.2–12.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Tulane project to finish 14.2–16.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →