West Georgia
DePaul
Win Probability
Moneyline
WGA
+3500
4.5% win prob
EV +31.0%
theScore Bet
Moneyline
DEP
-6045
95.5% win prob
EV -1.5%
Polymarket
West Georgia travels to face DePaul in a matchup the simulation favours decisively toward the home side. The Blue Demons' offensive balance will be central to the result: AccuScore projects them to score nearly 82 points, with contributions across the roster. For West Georgia to pull off an upset, the Wolves would need to force enough turnovers to disrupt DePaul's rhythm and keep pace offensively—a tall order given the projected 20-point gap. In eight prior games with a similar win-probability shape, AccuScore's model went 8 for 8 on the favoured side. West Georgia's path to victory runs through slowing the pace and staying within striking distance through the first half.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | DEP | EV | WGA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -9000 | -1.7% | +2500 | +8.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -1.8% | +3000 | +19.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | -1.8% | +2800 | +15.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -50000 | -2.2% | +3500 | +31.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -6045 | -1.5% | +2423 | +6.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 144.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -6.9% | -110 | +2.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 144 | -110 | -2.8% | -110 | -1.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 144.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes DePaul 96% to beat West Georgia (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes DePaul the more likely winner at 96%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives DePaul a 96% chance of beating West Georgia, against 5% for West Georgia. DePaul are at home and favoured on these numbers.
West Georgia project to finish 12.4–16.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
DePaul project to finish 15.1–16.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Georgia | 12.4–16.6 | 9% | 0% |
| DePaul | 15.1–16.9 | 4% | 18% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →