NCAAB
Oral Roberts
Central Arkansas
Win Probability
Oral Roberts travels to Central Arkansas in a game where the model decisively favours the home side. The Bears project to outscore the Eagles by eight points, with the simulation centred on a finish in the low 80s for Central Arkansas and the mid-70s for Oral Roberts. Scoring margin is what separates these teams; the Eagles will need to tighten their defence significantly to stay competitive. On eight similar games across other matchups, the favoured side won seven times. For Oral Roberts to pull off the upset, it would have to generate enough offensive pressure to keep pace with Central Arkansas's projected output.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | CARK | EV | ORU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -395 | -2.3% | +310 | -1.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -385 | -2.0% | +300 | -2.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -400 | -2.4% | +310 | -1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | -400 | -2.4% | +310 | -1.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -400 | -2.4% | +300 | -2.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -105 | -5.0% | -115 | +0.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -108 | -5.6% | -112 | +1.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 155.5 | -105 | -5.0% | -115 | +0.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Central Arkansas 76% to beat Oral Roberts (24%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Central Arkansas the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Central Arkansas a 76% chance of beating Oral Roberts, against 24% for Oral Roberts. Central Arkansas are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Oral Roberts project to finish 10.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Central Arkansas project to finish 16.1–11.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oral Roberts | 10.0–16.0 | 8% | 9% |
| Central Arkansas | 16.1–11.9 | 27% | 29% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →