Long Beach State
Utah
Win Probability
Long Beach State travels to face Utah in a matchup the model favors decisively for the home side. Across eight similar games in AccuScore's history, the favored team won all eight, a record that underscores Utah's structural advantage here. Long Beach State's offensive execution will be central: the Utes project to 82 points, and for the visitors to stay competitive they would need to either keep pace on that scoring or hold Utah well below that mark. Long Beach State's defense must prevent Utah from the kind of efficient offensive performance the simulation expects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UTAH | EV | LBSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -4500 | -4.1% | +1700 | +41.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -4.1% | +1600 | +36.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -3000 | -3.6% | +1300 | +21.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -7500 | -4.5% | +2000 | +57.1% |
| Hard Rock Bet ↗ | -5000 | -4.2% | +1600 | +36.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -115 | -2.3% | -105 | -2.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah 90% to beat Long Beach State (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah a 90% chance of beating Long Beach State, against 10% for Long Beach State. Utah are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Long Beach State project to finish 13.8–18.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Utah project to finish 14.0–18.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State | 13.8–18.2 | 5% | 9% |
| Utah | 14.0–18.0 | 1% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →