Eastern Washington
Stanford
Win Probability
Eastern Washington travels to Stanford in a matchup the model decisively favors for the home side. The Eagles face a steep climb against a Cardinal team that simulation projects to build separation through the second half. Stanford's advantage runs through ball movement and three-point shooting; Eastern Washington will need to force turnovers and control tempo to stay within range. In games with a similar win-probability shape, AccuScore's pick went 8-0 across eight prior matchups. For the Eagles to pull off the upset, they would need to neutralize Stanford's perimeter threats and force the Cardinal into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | STAN | EV | EWU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -13.5 | -120 | -12.0% | -102 | +8.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -14.5 | -102 | -12.1% | -118 | +7.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | -14 | -110 | -11.9% | -110 | +7.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -14.5 | -105 | -12.6% | -122 | +6.1% |
| Book | STAN | EV | EWU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1429 | -4.7% | +810 | +19.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1250 | -4.3% | +750 | +15.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -1250 | -4.3% | +650 | +7.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 153.5 | -115 | -4.2% | -105 | -0.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 154 | -110 | -4.5% | -110 | +0.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -6.7% | -110 | +1.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Stanford 85% to beat Eastern Washington (15%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Stanford the more likely winner at 85%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Stanford a 85% chance of beating Eastern Washington, against 15% for Eastern Washington. Stanford are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Eastern Washington project to finish 14.5–14.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Stanford project to finish 16.8–14.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Washington | 14.5–14.5 | 13% | 17% |
| Stanford | 16.8–14.2 | 4% | 26% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →