Seattle U
Hawai'i
Win Probability
When Seattle U visits Hawai'i, the simulation leans slightly toward the home side in a matchup that could go either way. The model projects a low-scoring affair where possessions matter more than explosiveness. Across eight similar games in AccuScore's record, the favored side won 5 of them, suggesting these tight contests carry real uncertainty. For Seattle U to pull the upset on the road, it would need to either protect the ball with unusual discipline or force Hawai'i into uncharacteristic turnovers—anything less, and the Rainbow Warriors' home court likely decides a game decided by small margins.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | HAW | EV | SEA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | -112 | -0.6% | -108 | -4.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1.5 | -115 | -1.2% | -105 | -3.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | -2 | -110 | -1.5% | -110 | -2.9% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -0.5 | -130 | -1.8% | +102 | -4.0% |
| Book | HAW | EV | SEA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -125 | -0.9% | +104 | -3.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -130 | -1.8% | +105 | -3.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -125 | -0.9% | +105 | -3.4% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -130 | -1.8% | +102 | -4.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.7% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 144.5 | -108 | -3.4% | -118 | -2.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Hawai'i 55% to beat Seattle U (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Hawai'i the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Hawai'i a 55% chance of beating Seattle U, against 46% for Seattle U. Hawai'i are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Seattle U project to finish 16.1–12.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 23% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Hawai'i project to finish 15.7–12.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →