NCAAB
Army
16
Duke
29
| Team | H1 | H2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 16 | – | 16 |
| DUKE | 29 | – | 29 |
Win Probability
Army travels to Durham to face Duke in a matchup the simulation decisively favors the Blue Devils to win. Drew Scharnowski projects to have a 46% chance of exceeding 31 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Jacob Theodosiou sits at 49% for the same threshold of 23—both among Duke's likeliest contributors. For Army, Ryan Curry carries a 48% chance of surpassing 17 combined, his team's best individual projection. The game hinges on whether Army can generate enough offensive production to keep pace; across eight prior matchups with a similar win-probability shape, AccuScore's favored side won all eight. Army would need a significant lift in scoring efficiency to threaten the outcome.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | DUKE | EV | ARMY | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.4% | +3300 | -48.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.0% | +15000 | -42.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 157.5 | -105 | -11.4% | -115 | +6.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 157.5 | -106 | -11.6% | -114 | +6.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 157.5 | -105 | -11.4% | -115 | +6.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | -12.3% | -110 | +7.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 157.5 | -105 | -11.4% | -115 | +6.6% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Duke 100% to beat Army (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Duke the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Duke a 100% chance of beating Army, against 0% for Army. Duke are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Army project to finish 10.5–19.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Duke project to finish 27.1–4.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 98% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →