Le Moyne
Nebraska
Win Probability
Nebraska hosts Le Moyne as a decisive favourite in this matchup. The simulation leans heavily toward the Cornhuskers, with their depth posing the central challenge for the visiting Dolphins. Damon Wilkinson has a 47% chance of exceeding 27 points, rebounds and assists, while A. Moss projects at 47% to surpass 19 combined. Across eight prior games with similar win-probability shapes, AccuScore's model went 8-0. Le Moyne would need to convert at an elite rate and force turnovers to stay within range.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | NEB | EV | LEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.2% | +3300 | -39.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.2% | +9000 | -22.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -36823 | -0.2% | +4433 | -36.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 151.5 | -115 | -7.4% | -105 | +3.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -8.9% | -110 | +4.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 151.5 | -115 | -7.4% | -105 | +3.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 152 | -110 | -7.6% | -110 | +3.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 151.5 | -115 | -7.4% | -105 | +3.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 99.4%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska 99% to beat Le Moyne (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nebraska a 99% chance of beating Le Moyne, against 1% for Le Moyne. Nebraska are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Le Moyne project to finish 12.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Nebraska project to finish 21.4–10.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 70% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →