Fairleigh Dickinson
Illinois
Win Probability
Illinois hosts Fairleigh Dickinson in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. Stefan Vaaks projects at 48% to exceed 31 combined points, rebounds and assists, while David Jevtic has a 49% chance to surpass 17 in the same category—a gap that reflects the disparity in expected output. The game hinges on whether Fairleigh Dickinson can generate offensive production; across eight statistically similar contests, the favored side has won all eight. For the Knights to pull an upset, their role players would need to step up alongside Jevtic and keep pace with Illinois's depth.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | ILL | EV | FDU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.4% | +3300 | -46.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.1% | +12000 | -37.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -15.9% | -105 | +12.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -15.2% | -110 | +10.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -15.9% | -105 | +12.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -15.2% | -110 | +10.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -15.9% | -105 | +12.0% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Illinois 100% to beat Fairleigh Dickinson (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Illinois the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Illinois a 100% chance of beating Fairleigh Dickinson, against 0% for Fairleigh Dickinson. Illinois are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Fairleigh Dickinson project to finish 11.1–17.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Illinois project to finish 23.5–8.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 93% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson | 11.1–17.9 | 10% | 13% |
| Illinois | 23.5–8.5 | 15% | 93% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →