NCAAB
Maryland Eastern Shore
Wake Forest
Win Probability
Wake Forest hosts Maryland Eastern Shore in a game where the simulation decisively favours the home side. Kevair Kennedy projects at 46% to exceed 35 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Israel Hall sits at 48% for more than 19 in the same category—a gap that underscores Wake Forest's depth advantage. The visitors' path to an upset runs through containing Wake Forest's secondary scorers; Ring Nyeri and Justin Ray both sit near 49% to clear 24 and 23 respectively. AccuScore's model won all eight of its previous games against similar win-probability shapes. Maryland Eastern Shore would need to weather early Wake Forest scoring and force a prolonged half-court grind to stay competitive.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | WAKE | EV | UMES | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.2% | +3300 | -41.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.0% | +6000 | -34.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -5.3% | -105 | +1.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -108 | -6.5% | -112 | +1.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 145.5 | -105 | -5.9% | -115 | +1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 145 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Wake Forest 100% to beat Maryland Eastern Shore (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Wake Forest the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Wake Forest a 100% chance of beating Maryland Eastern Shore, against 1% for Maryland Eastern Shore. Wake Forest are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Maryland Eastern Shore project to finish 8.8–20.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Wake Forest project to finish 17.4–13.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore | 8.8–20.2 | 6% | 6% |
| Wake Forest | 17.4–13.6 | 2% | 29% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →