East Texas A&M
Oklahoma
Win Probability
Oklahoma hosts East Texas A&M in a matchup the model heavily favors for the home side. Pop Isaacs has a 49% chance of exceeding 25 points, rebounds and assists, while Tyler Hendricks projects a 47% chance at more than 22 combined. For the visitors, Alonzo Dodd carries a 48% chance of surpassing 21 points, rebounds and assists, but East Texas A&M's supporting cast—with Codrut Dinu and Bo Aldridge each at 44-45% for double-figure contributions—faces a steep climb. On games with this win-probability shape, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8 across eight other matchups, and an upset would require East Texas A&M's secondary scorers to exceed their projections markedly while Oklahoma's depth falters.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | OU | EV | ETAM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -100000 | -0.5% | +5000 | -24.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | -0.0% | +3300 | -33.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -12000 | -0.1% | +4000 | -29.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -10969 | -0.0% | +4433 | -27.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -108 | +1.3% | -112 | -5.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +0.9% | -110 | -5.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 148.5 | -105 | +2.0% | -115 | -6.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +0.9% | -110 | -5.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +0.9% | -110 | -5.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma 99% to beat East Texas A&M (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma a 99% chance of beating East Texas A&M, against 1% for East Texas A&M. Oklahoma are at home and favoured on these numbers.
East Texas A&M project to finish 10.0–21.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Oklahoma project to finish 20.4–11.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 60% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Texas A&M | 10.0–21.0 | 1% | 2% |
| Oklahoma | 20.4–11.6 | 5% | 60% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →