NCAAB
Coppin State
Virginia Tech
Win Probability
Virginia Tech hosts Coppin State in a matchup where the simulation heavily favors the home side. The Hokies' defensive pressure will be critical; across eight statistically similar games, AccuScore's model has gone 7-1, suggesting Virginia Tech's approach is well-suited to this dynamic. Coppin State's path to an upset runs through forcing turnovers and controlling pace, but the Eagles will need to overcome a substantial gap in execution to pull off the improbable result. For Coppin State to threaten, their perimeter shooting would need to stay hot while Virginia Tech's interior defense falters—a combination the numbers suggest is unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | VT | EV | COPP | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.3% | +8000 | -21.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -0.3% | +325 | -48.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -8.8% | -110 | +4.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 150.5 | -115 | -7.3% | -105 | +3.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Virginia Tech 99% to beat Coppin State (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Virginia Tech the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Virginia Tech a 99% chance of beating Coppin State, against 1% for Coppin State. Virginia Tech are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Coppin State project to finish 6.2–22.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Virginia Tech project to finish 19.0–13.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 37% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coppin State | 6.2–22.8 | 3% | 3% |
| Virginia Tech | 19.0–13.0 | 4% | 37% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →