Holy Cross
Rhode Island
Win Probability
Holy Cross travels to Rhode Island in a matchup the model favors decisively toward the Rams. The simulation projects Rhode Island to control pace and efficiency, with the gap most likely to widen if Holy Cross struggles to generate consistent offensive flow. On games with this win-probability shape across similar competition, AccuScore's pick has won 7 of 8. For the Crusaders to pull the upset, they would need to slow Rhode Island's rhythm and force the Rams into uncharacteristic shooting inefficiency. The total leans toward a closer final margin than Rhode Island's projected lead suggests.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | URI | EV | HC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -4500 | -1.8% | +1700 | +1.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -1.8% | +1600 | -1.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -5000 | -1.9% | +1400 | -7.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -7500 | -2.2% | +2000 | +9.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -5000 | -1.9% | +2000 | +9.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -105 | -8.7% | -115 | +3.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -10.5% | -105 | +6.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -105 | -8.7% | -115 | +3.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 147 | -110 | -8.4% | -110 | +4.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -105 | -8.7% | -115 | +3.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island 94% to beat Holy Cross (6%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island the more likely winner at 94%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rhode Island a 94% chance of beating Holy Cross, against 6% for Holy Cross. Rhode Island are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Holy Cross project to finish 10.0–20.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rhode Island project to finish 15.2–14.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross | 10.0–20.0 | 3% | 3% |
| Rhode Island | 15.2–14.8 | 3% | 6% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →