Northern Kentucky
South Dakota
Win Probability
Northern Kentucky travels to South Dakota in a matchup where the simulation slightly favors the visiting Coyotes. The game hinges on three-point shooting: if either team's perimeter game flows, the pace quickens and scoring climbs. On similar game shapes across eight prior contests, AccuScore's pick went 5–3. For South Dakota to pull the upset at home, its defense would need to force enough turnovers to disrupt Northern Kentucky's rhythm and keep the game tight in the final minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SDAK | EV | NKU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +105 | -8.7% | -125 | +3.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +104 | -8.9% | -125 | +3.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +110 | -7.7% | -135 | +2.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +105 | -8.7% | -125 | +3.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +100 | -9.7% | -120 | +4.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 159.5 | -105 | -1.4% | -115 | -3.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 157.5 | -115 | +1.0% | -105 | -5.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 159.5 | -105 | -1.4% | -115 | -3.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 159 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 159.5 | -105 | -1.4% | -115 | -3.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 59.7%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Northern Kentucky 60% to beat South Dakota (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Northern Kentucky the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Dakota a 40% chance of beating Northern Kentucky, against 60% for Northern Kentucky. South Dakota are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Northern Kentucky project to finish 17.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Dakota project to finish 11.1–16.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky | 17.5–12.5 | 17% | 15% |
| South Dakota | 11.1–16.9 | 5% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Northern Kentucky and South Dakota come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Northern Kentucky have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).