McNeese
North Texas
Win Probability
McNeese travels to face North Texas in a matchup the model leans slightly toward the visiting Eagles. The simulation ran 50,000 iterations and projects a near-dead heat, with the outcome hinging on perimeter shooting—how efficiently each team converts from distance will decide the margin. On the 8 similar games AccuScore has evaluated, the favored side won 6 times. For North Texas to pull off the upset at home, the Mean Green would need to control the pace and keep McNeese from settling into rhythm from deep.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UNT | EV | MCN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +105 | -1.4% | -125 | -2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +105 | -1.4% | -126 | -2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +105 | -1.4% | -125 | -2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +105 | -1.4% | -125 | -2.7% |
| BetRivers ↗ | +108 | -0.7% | -139 | -4.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -2.1% | -105 | -2.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes McNeese 53% to beat North Texas (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes McNeese the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives North Texas a 47% chance of beating McNeese, against 53% for McNeese. North Texas are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
McNeese (1-0 so far) project to finish 22.5–6.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 50% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
North Texas project to finish 19.3–10.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 28% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| McNeese | 22.5–6.5 | 51% | 50% |
| North Texas | 19.3–10.7 | 17% | 28% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How McNeese and North Texas come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.