NCAAB
Wake Forest
Vanderbilt
Win Probability
Moneyline
WAKE
+1500
8.6% win prob
EV +18.8%
theScore Bet
Moneyline
VAN
-1736
91.4% win prob
EV -1.7%
Polymarket
Wake Forest travels to face Vanderbilt in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Commodores are projected to control this game from start to finish, with their offensive firepower the decisive factor—Vanderbilt's scoring projection sits well above what the Demon Deacons can muster defensively. On games shaped statistically like this one, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8 across prior matchups. Wake Forest would need to engineer a rare defensive stand and elevate their offensive efficiency markedly to threaten an upset in Nashville.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | VAN | EV | WAKE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2400 | -2.4% | +1200 | +5.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -3500 | -3.0% | +1280 | +9.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -2500 | -2.5% | +1050 | -0.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -5000 | -3.4% | +1500 | +18.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -2500 | -2.5% | +1300 | +10.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -4.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -115 | -3.8% | -105 | -0.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 155.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155 | -110 | -1.6% | -110 | -2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -4.0% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Vanderbilt 91% to beat Wake Forest (9%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vanderbilt the more likely winner at 91%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vanderbilt a 91% chance of beating Wake Forest, against 9% for Wake Forest. Vanderbilt are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Wake Forest (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.8–14.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Vanderbilt (1-0 so far) project to finish 23.0–9.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 80% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 16.8–14.2 | 2% | 24% |
| Vanderbilt | 23.0–9.0 | 10% | 80% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Wake Forest and Vanderbilt come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Wake Forest have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Wake Forest 0, Vanderbilt 1. The last meeting, on Dec 21, 2025, finished Vanderbilt 98, Wake Forest 67.