NCAAB
Long Island University
Seton Hall
Win Probability
Moneyline
LIU
+1300
7.3% win prob
EV +1.1%
theScore Bet
Moneyline
HALL
-2100
92.7% win prob
EV -1.4%
DraftKings
Long Island University travels to face Seton Hall in a matchup the simulation decisively favours the home side. Seton Hall's depth will be tested early; the model projects Tyrese Martin for over 16 points in 65% of outcomes, while the Pirates' defence will need to contain LIU's scoring opportunities through the paint and perimeter. The game hinges on whether Long Island University can generate enough offensive efficiency to stay competitive—a 17-point projected margin reflects how difficult that task becomes on the road. AccuScore's model has won 8 of 8 games shaped like this one historically. For the Pirates to slip up, LIU would need to shoot well above expectation and force Seton Hall into uncharacteristic turnovers.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | HALL | EV | LIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2100 | -1.4% | +1100 | -6.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -3500 | -2.3% | +1280 | +0.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -4000 | -2.5% | +1300 | +1.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -2500 | -1.8% | +1300 | +1.1% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -5000 | -2.7% | +1200 | -2.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -10.1% | -110 | +5.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 140.5 | -115 | -10.9% | -105 | +6.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -10.1% | -110 | +5.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -10.1% | -110 | +5.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 140 | -110 | -8.9% | -110 | +4.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Seton Hall 93% to beat Long Island University (7%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seton Hall the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seton Hall a 93% chance of beating Long Island University, against 7% for Long Island University. Seton Hall are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Long Island University (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.4–16.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 34% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Seton Hall (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.4–12.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University | 14.4–16.6 | 31% | 34% |
| Seton Hall | 18.4–12.6 | 7% | 47% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Long Island University and Seton Hall come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Long Island University have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).