Georgia State
Charlotte
Win Probability
Moneyline
GAST
+600
17.1% win prob
EV +9.9%
DraftKings
Moneyline
CLT
-650
82.9% win prob
EV -2.2%
Hard Rock Bet
Georgia State visits Charlotte in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The 49ers project to outscore the Panthers by double digits, with Charlotte's depth giving it a substantial advantage in a matchup that hinges on perimeter shooting. In games with a similar probability shape across eight prior contests, the model's lean has proven correct six times. Georgia State would need to dominate the three-point line and force turnovers to overcome the gap in depth; the combined score has a 48% chance of exceeding the market total.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | CLT | EV | GAST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -900 | -3.9% | +600 | +9.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -820 | -3.5% | +550 | +5.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -700 | -2.6% | +500 | +1.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -900 | -3.9% | +550 | +5.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -800 | -3.4% | +550 | +5.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Charlotte 83% to beat Georgia State (17%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Charlotte the more likely winner at 83%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Charlotte a 83% chance of beating Georgia State, against 17% for Georgia State. Charlotte are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Georgia State (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.7–18.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Charlotte (1-0 so far) project to finish 15.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 10.7–18.3 | 2% | 2% |
| Charlotte | 15.1–15.9 | 3% | 6% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Georgia State and Charlotte come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Georgia State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2023: Georgia State 0, Charlotte 1. The last meeting, on Nov 25, 2023, finished Georgia State 57, Charlotte 65.