Central Connecticut
Syracuse
Win Probability
Moneyline
CCSU
+3000
4.9% win prob
EV +26.0%
theScore Bet
Moneyline
SYR
-6500
95.1% win prob
EV -1.7%
DraftKings
Central Connecticut travels to face Syracuse in a matchup the model favors decisively for the home side. The Orangemen's depth will be tested early; Syracuse's ball movement and interior presence should strain a visiting defense built to operate in transition. Central Connecticut's best path runs through perimeter shooting and forcing turnovers, but Syracuse's spacing makes both difficult. AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8 on games shaped like this one. For the Blue Devils to pull the upset, they would need to keep the game close through thirty minutes and catch Syracuse cold from three.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SYR | EV | CCSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6500 | -1.7% | +2000 | +1.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -8000 | -1.9% | +2200 | +6.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -20000 | -2.2% | +3000 | +26.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -9000 | -1.9% | +2800 | +21.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -8412 | -1.9% | +245 | -41.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 136.5 | -110 | +7.2% | -110 | -11.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 136.5 | -115 | +6.0% | -105 | -10.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 136.5 | -110 | +7.2% | -110 | -11.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 136.5 | -110 | +7.2% | -110 | -11.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 137 | -110 | +6.0% | -110 | -10.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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Central Connecticut (0-1 so far) project to finish 11.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 21% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Syracuse (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.6–15.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Connecticut | 11.9–15.1 | 17% | 21% |
| Syracuse | 16.6–15.4 | 1% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Syracuse 95% to beat Central Connecticut (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Syracuse the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Syracuse a 95% chance of beating Central Connecticut, against 5% for Central Connecticut. Syracuse are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Central Connecticut and Syracuse come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Central Connecticut have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).