Hofstra
Princeton
Win Probability
Moneyline
HOF
+135
46.9% win prob
EV +5.1%
Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
PRIN
-145
53.1% win prob
EV -5.1%
theScore Bet
Hofstra travels to face Princeton in a matchup the model leans slightly toward the home side to win. The teams project to trade baskets in a tight contest that hinges on three-point shooting: both offenses will likely need consistent perimeter success to pull ahead late. On the 48 simulations run, AccuScore's model has won 75% of games with this win-probability shape across other matchups. For Hofstra to emerge with the upset, the visitors would need to generate cleaner looks from deep than Princeton's defense allows and sustain it over forty minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | PRIN | EV | HOF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -148 | -5.5% | +124 | +2.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -150 | -5.8% | +125 | +2.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -155 | -6.3% | +125 | +2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -145 | -5.1% | +125 | +2.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -155 | -6.3% | +130 | +3.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 139.5 | -115 | -7.3% | -105 | +3.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 139.5 | -115 | -7.3% | -105 | +3.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 140.5 | -105 | -7.6% | -115 | +2.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 46.9%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Princeton 53% to beat Hofstra (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Princeton the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Princeton a 53% chance of beating Hofstra, against 47% for Hofstra. Princeton are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Hofstra project to finish 20.1–9.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 33% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Princeton project to finish 11.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →