Maine
Sacred Heart
Win Probability
Maine travels to Sacred Heart in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Black Bears enter as visitors to a Pioneers team that projects to pull away late, with the gap between these teams' offensive capabilities likely decisive by the closing minutes. On similar matchups in AccuScore's historical record, the favored side has won six of eight. Maine would need to generate significantly more scoring depth than currently projected to overcome Sacred Heart's home court advantage and keep this one competitive into the final stretch.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SHU | EV | ME | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -270 | +0.2% | +220 | -7.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -260 | +0.7% | +210 | -8.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -270 | +0.2% | +220 | -7.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -275 | -0.0% | +220 | -7.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -278 | -0.2% | +210 | -8.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -5.6% | -105 | +1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 144 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 73.3%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Sacred Heart 73% to beat Maine (27%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Sacred Heart the more likely winner at 73%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sacred Heart a 73% chance of beating Maine, against 27% for Maine. Sacred Heart are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Maine and Sacred Heart come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Maine (0-1 so far) project to finish 11.6–19.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Sacred Heart project to finish 16.6–14.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine | 11.6–19.4 | 5% | 5% |
| Sacred Heart | 16.6–14.4 | 13% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →