New Hampshire
Rider
Win Probability
New Hampshire travels to Rider in a matchup the simulation favors slightly toward the hosts. The outcome hinges on offensive efficiency: projections suggest a low-scoring affair that could go either way, with the combined score having a 48% chance of exceeding the market total. In games shaped like this one, AccuScore's model won six of eight. New Hampshire will need to generate consistent scoring pressure to pull off the road win, while Rider's path to victory runs through containing the Wildcats' output over forty minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | RID | EV | UNH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -125 | -0.4% | +105 | -4.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -125 | -0.4% | +104 | -4.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -125 | -0.4% | +105 | -4.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -125 | -0.4% | +105 | -4.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -134 | -1.9% | +106 | -3.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 141.5 | -108 | -2.0% | -112 | -2.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Rider 55% to beat New Hampshire (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rider the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rider a 55% chance of beating New Hampshire, against 45% for New Hampshire. Rider are at home and favoured on these numbers.
New Hampshire (1-0 so far) project to finish 12.4–18.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rider (0-1 so far) project to finish 8.3–21.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | 12.4–18.6 | 5% | 5% |
| Rider | 8.3–21.7 | 1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How New Hampshire and Rider come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.