Bryant
Quinnipiac
Win Probability
Bryant travels to Quinnipiac in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. The model projects a close contest that hinges on three-point shooting: if either team's perimeter game heats up significantly, it could push the combined score above the market total, which the simulation sees as roughly a coin flip at 49%. Across eight similar games in AccuScore's history, the favoured team won four, so there is real variance in how these play out. Bryant would need to steal this on the road, which would require holding Quinnipiac to well below its projected output in a hostile environment.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | QUIN | EV | BRY | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -205 | +0.8% | +170 | -7.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -215 | +0.0% | +176 | -6.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -200 | +1.2% | +170 | -7.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -215 | +0.0% | +175 | -6.4% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -240 | -1.6% | +185 | -4.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 150 | -110 | -2.0% | -110 | -2.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 68.3%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Quinnipiac 68% to beat Bryant (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Quinnipiac the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Quinnipiac a 68% chance of beating Bryant, against 32% for Bryant. Quinnipiac are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bryant (1-0 so far) project to finish 11.8–18.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Quinnipiac (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant | 11.8–18.2 | 6% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac | 15.4–14.6 | 13% | 10% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bryant and Quinnipiac come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.