Delaware State
Navy
Win Probability
Moneyline
DSU
+350
17.8% win prob
EV -10.0%
Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
NAVY
-395
82.2% win prob
EV +1.5%
DraftKings
Navy hosts Delaware State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Cam Cole has a 49% chance of eclipsing 21 points, rebounds and assists, while Nasir Muhammad projects at 45% to exceed 19 combined. The game hinges on whether Delaware State can generate enough offensive production to keep pace; across eight similarly-shaped contests, AccuScore's favored side won six. For the Hornets to pull the upset, they would need their role players—particularly Ademar Santos at 50% to surpass 13 combined—to outperform projection alongside their lead creators.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | NAVY | EV | DSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -395 | +1.5% | +310 | -13.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -450 | +0.2% | +340 | -10.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -400 | +1.4% | +300 | -14.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -450 | +0.2% | +340 | -10.8% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -500 | -0.7% | +340 | -10.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | -11.9% | -110 | +7.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | -11.9% | -110 | +7.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | -11.9% | -110 | +7.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | -11.9% | -110 | +7.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | -11.9% | -110 | +7.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 82.2%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Navy 82% to beat Delaware State (18%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Navy the more likely winner at 82%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Navy a 82% chance of beating Delaware State, against 18% for Delaware State. Navy are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Delaware State project to finish 7.9–18.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Navy (0-1 so far) project to finish 17.1–12.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware State | 7.9–18.1 | 4% | 4% |
| Navy | 17.1–12.9 | 21% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Delaware State and Navy come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.