NCAAB
NJIT
Iona
Win Probability
Moneyline
NJIT
+375
20.2% win prob
EV -2.0%
Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
IONA
-440
79.8% win prob
EV -1.0%
DraftKings
When NJIT travels to face Iona, the simulation decisively favours the home side. The matchup hinges on pace and three-point shooting: if Iona can control tempo and convert from distance, it will pull away; if NJIT forces a slugfest, it stays competitive. In eight prior games with similar win-probability shapes, AccuScore's model went 6-2. For the Highlanders to pull off the upset, they would need to dominate the boards and limit Iona's perimeter opportunities over forty minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | IONA | EV | NJIT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -440 | -1.0% | +340 | -5.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -490 | -2.0% | +365 | -3.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -450 | -1.2% | +340 | -5.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -475 | -1.7% | +360 | -3.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -560 | -3.0% | +370 | -2.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -6.0% | -105 | +1.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.7% | -110 | +3.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Iona 80% to beat NJIT (20%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Iona the more likely winner at 80%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Iona a 80% chance of beating NJIT, against 20% for NJIT. Iona are at home and favoured on these numbers.
NJIT (0-1 so far) project to finish 9.5–21.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Iona (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How NJIT and Iona come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.