NCAAB
Coastal Carolina
Duke
Win Probability
Coastal Carolina travels to face Duke in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. AccuScore's model projects a commanding performance from Duke, with the Blue Devils' offence operating well ahead of the Chanticleers' defence. The outcome hinges on whether Coastal Carolina can generate enough scoring to keep pace; across eight statistically similar games, the favored side has won all eight. For the Chanticleers to pull off an upset, they would need to significantly exceed their projected offensive output and force Duke into an uncharacteristic shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | DUKE | EV | CCU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.0% | +20000 | -39.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | +0.0% | +11219 | -44.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -6.0% | -105 | +1.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -6.0% | -105 | +1.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -6.0% | -105 | +1.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148 | -110 | -6.2% | -110 | +1.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -6.0% | -105 | +1.6% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Duke 100% to beat Coastal Carolina (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Duke the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Duke a 100% chance of beating Coastal Carolina, against 0% for Coastal Carolina. Duke are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Coastal Carolina and Duke come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Coastal Carolina have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Coastal Carolina (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.8–18.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Duke (1-0 so far) project to finish 26.8–5.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 98% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Carolina | 10.8–18.2 | 3% | 3% |
| Duke | 26.8–5.2 | 60% | 98% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →