East Texas A&M
Rice
Win Probability
When East Texas A&M visits Rice, the model leans clearly toward the home side. The simulation centers on a low-scoring affair where perimeter shooting becomes critical: Rice needs its outside threats to consistently beat their season rates, while East Texas A&M must manufacture points in the paint. Across eight similar games in AccuScore's historical record, the favored side won four times, suggesting vulnerability despite the lean. For the visiting Aggies to pull the upset, they would need to dominate the boards and limit Rice's three-point opportunities well below projection.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | RICE | EV | ETAM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -205 | -1.0% | +170 | -4.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -194 | -0.1% | +160 | -5.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -200 | -0.6% | +170 | -4.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -195 | -0.2% | +160 | -5.7% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -225 | -2.4% | +175 | -3.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Rice 66% to beat East Texas A&M (34%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rice the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rice a 66% chance of beating East Texas A&M, against 34% for East Texas A&M. Rice are at home and favoured on these numbers.
East Texas A&M (1-0 so far) project to finish 12.5–18.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rice project to finish 11.8–18.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Texas A&M | 12.5–18.5 | 2% | 3% |
| Rice | 11.8–18.2 | 2% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How East Texas A&M and Rice come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.