NCAAB
West Georgia
Loyola Chicago
Win Probability
Moneyline
WGA
+1500
9.6% win prob
EV +26.8%
theScore Bet
Moneyline
LUC
-2800
90.4% win prob
EV -3.2%
DraftKings
West Georgia travels to Loyola Chicago in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with Loyola Chicago winning a defensive battle that hinges on perimeter shooting—the kind of game where three-point efficiency becomes decisive. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8 in past matchups. For West Georgia to pull off the upset, their offense would need to overcome a significant efficiency gap and force Loyola Chicago into an uncharacteristic shooting slump.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | LUC | EV | WGA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2800 | -3.2% | +1300 | +17.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4000 | -3.7% | +1400 | +22.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -3000 | -3.3% | +1250 | +14.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -5000 | -3.9% | +1500 | +26.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -3000 | -3.3% | +1500 | +26.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 145.5 | -105 | -5.1% | -115 | +0.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -4.5% | -105 | +0.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -4.5% | -105 | +0.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 145 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 145.5 | -105 | -5.1% | -115 | +0.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Loyola Chicago 90% to beat West Georgia (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Loyola Chicago the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Loyola Chicago a 90% chance of beating West Georgia, against 10% for West Georgia. Loyola Chicago are at home and favoured on these numbers.
West Georgia (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.5–18.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Loyola Chicago (1-0 so far) project to finish 10.4–18.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Georgia | 10.5–18.5 | 5% | 0% |
| Loyola Chicago | 10.4–18.6 | 1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How West Georgia and Loyola Chicago come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Loyola Chicago have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).