Le Moyne
Creighton
Win Probability
Creighton hosts Le Moyne in a clash heavily favourable to the home side. The simulation strongly leans toward the Bluejays, who project to dominate on their home floor. Le Moyne will need to contain Creighton's offensive threats and keep the game close early; in eight statistically similar spots, AccuScore's pick went 8-0. For the Ramblers to pull off the upset, they would need to play well above projection and force Creighton into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | CREI | EV | LEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +3000 | -11.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -50000 | -1.2% | +3500 | -5.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -12000 | -0.8% | +4000 | +1.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -36823 | -1.1% | +262 | -45.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -108 | -2.8% | -112 | -1.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Creighton 98% to beat Le Moyne (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Creighton the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Creighton a 98% chance of beating Le Moyne, against 3% for Le Moyne. Creighton are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Le Moyne (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.4–16.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Creighton (1-0 so far) project to finish 14.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 31% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Le Moyne and Creighton come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.