Northeastern
Virginia
Win Probability
Northeastern travels to face Virginia in a matchup the model decisively favours for the host. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's record stands at 8-0 across similar win-probability distributions. The Cavaliers' offensive execution will prove decisive; Virginia's ability to control pace and limit transition opportunities is what separates the teams here. For Northeastern to pull off the upset, the Huskies would need to generate consistent three-point shooting and force enough turnovers to stay within striking distance through the second half.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UVA | EV | NE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.0% | +5000 | -37.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -5.1% | -105 | +0.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -4.2% | -110 | -0.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 160 | -110 | -5.3% | -110 | +0.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -5.1% | -105 | +0.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 159 | -110 | -3.0% | -110 | -1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Virginia 100% to beat Northeastern (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Virginia the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Virginia a 100% chance of beating Northeastern, against 1% for Northeastern. Virginia are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Northeastern (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.7–21.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Virginia (1-0 so far) project to finish 22.0–9.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 77% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northeastern | 10.7–21.3 | 2% | 2% |
| Virginia | 22.0–9.0 | 13% | 77% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Northeastern and Virginia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Northeastern have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2023: Northeastern 0, Virginia 1. The last meeting, on Dec 16, 2023, finished Northeastern 54, Virginia 56.