Youngstown State
Ohio State
Win Probability
Youngstown State travels to face Ohio State in a matchup the simulation favors decisively for the home side. The Penguins would need to hold the Buckeyes well below their projected offensive output to have a realistic chance; across eight similar games in AccuScore's history, the favored side has won all eight. Ohio State's depth gives it multiple paths to victory, but Youngstown State's path runs through keeping possessions short and forcing turnovers—a difficult assignment against a team projected to score in the high 80s. For the visitors to pull off an upset, they would need a shooting night significantly above their season norms while limiting Ohio State's efficiency at both ends of the floor.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | OSU | EV | YSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -10000 | -1.0% | +3000 | -5.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -20000 | -1.2% | +3500 | +2.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -50000 | -1.4% | +3500 | +2.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -15000 | -1.1% | +4500 | +16.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -9962 | -1.0% | +245 | -45.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -105 | -5.6% | -115 | +0.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 153.5 | -115 | -2.8% | -105 | -1.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155 | -110 | -5.4% | -110 | +0.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 155 | -110 | -5.4% | -110 | +0.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Ohio State 97% to beat Youngstown State (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ohio State the more likely winner at 97%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Ohio State a 97% chance of beating Youngstown State, against 3% for Youngstown State. Ohio State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Youngstown State (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.4–12.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Ohio State (0-1 so far) project to finish 18.6–13.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Youngstown State | 16.4–12.6 | 14% | 12% |
| Ohio State | 18.6–13.4 | 3% | 63% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Youngstown State and Ohio State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Youngstown State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2018: Youngstown State 0, Ohio State 1. The last meeting, on Dec 18, 2018, finished Youngstown State 56, Ohio State 75.