Eastern Michigan
Xavier
Win Probability
Eastern Michigan travels to Xavier in a matchup the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Eagles face a Musketeers team that projects to win by 20 points, with Xavier's offence expected to reach the high 80s while Eastern Michigan struggles to crack 70. The game turns on Eastern Michigan's ability to generate enough scoring punch to stay within range—a tall task given the projected gap. On similar games shaped this way, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8. For Eastern Michigan to pull off the upset, it would need a historically strong performance while Xavier underperforms its projection significantly.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | XAV | EV | EMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -4000 | -1.3% | +1600 | -7.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -1.4% | +1600 | -7.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -7500 | -1.9% | +2000 | +2.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -4000 | -1.3% | +1800 | -2.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5721 | -1.7% | +232 | -41.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 156.5 | -112 | -4.2% | -108 | -0.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 157 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 157 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.6% |
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Eastern Michigan (1-0 so far) project to finish 10.8–17.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Xavier (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 37% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan | 10.8–17.2 | 2% | 2% |
| Xavier | 17.7–14.3 | 4% | 37% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Xavier 95% to beat Eastern Michigan (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Xavier the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Xavier a 95% chance of beating Eastern Michigan, against 5% for Eastern Michigan. Xavier are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Eastern Michigan and Xavier come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Eastern Michigan have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).