Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Baylor
Win Probability
Arkansas-Pine Bluff travels to Baylor in a matchup the simulation heavily favors the host. The Bears' depth and offensive firepower project to dominate, with production expected across their roster in the projected scoring range. For the Golden Lions to stay competitive, they would need to generate scoring punch that defies the model's expectations—a steep climb given how decisively Baylor's advantages shape the outcome. In games with similar win-probability profiles, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8. The game turns on whether Arkansas-Pine Bluff can limit Baylor's efficiency and keep pace offensively, a difficult task on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BAY | EV | UAPB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | +0.0% | +7000 | -46.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 157.5 | -114 | -1.9% | -106 | -2.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 157.5 | -115 | -2.1% | -105 | -2.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | +0.3% | -105 | -4.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 157.5 | -114 | -1.9% | -109 | -3.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Baylor 100% to beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Baylor the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Baylor a 100% chance of beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff, against 0% for Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Baylor are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (0-1 so far) project to finish 9.5–19.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Baylor (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.3–11.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 57% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 9.5–19.5 | 5% | 5% |
| Baylor | 17.3–11.7 | 4% | 57% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Baylor come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).