NCAAB
American University
Clemson
Win Probability
Clemson hosts American University in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Tigers project to win by 18, with their offense expected to reach 80 points—a threshold they clear in the model's typical outcome. American University will need to generate efficient scoring while limiting Clemson's bench production to stay competitive, a difficult task on the road. In games shaped similarly by win probability, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8. For the visiting Eagles to pull off an upset, they would need Clemson's scoring to fall significantly short of projection while their own approach near 70 points.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | CLEM | EV | AMER | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -3500 | -2.0% | +1280 | -3.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -2800 | -1.7% | +1400 | +0.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -2.5% | +814 | -19.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -105 | -7.1% | -115 | +2.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -3.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 143.5 | -5429 | -26.4% | -5429 | -22.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson 93% to beat American University (7%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Clemson a 93% chance of beating American University, against 7% for American University. Clemson are at home and favoured on these numbers.
American University (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.6–16.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Clemson (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.1–10.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 51% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University | 14.6–16.4 | 16% | 14% |
| Clemson | 19.1–10.9 | 6% | 51% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How American University and Clemson come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
American University have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).