Stetson
West Virginia
Win Probability
Stetson travels to face West Virginia in a matchup the model strongly favors for the home side. The Mountaineers' depth will be crucial: West Virginia's backcourt should dominate, with their ball handlers projected to create separation through four quarters. Stetson's perimeter shooting must stay efficient to stay close, but the visitors face an uphill climb on the road. AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8 on games shaped this way across its historical record. For the Hatters to pull off the upset, they would need to win the turnover battle decisively and convert at a rate well above their season norms.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | WVU | EV | STET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -0.7% | +3000 | -14.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -50000 | -1.1% | +3500 | -8.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.7% | +3000 | -14.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -36823 | -1.0% | +245 | -46.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -4.2% | -105 | -0.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -4.2% | -105 | -0.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 144 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 143.5 | -129 | -6.5% | -120 | -3.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes West Virginia 98% to beat Stetson (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes West Virginia the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives West Virginia a 98% chance of beating Stetson, against 2% for Stetson. West Virginia are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Stetson (0-2 so far) project to finish 8.1–19.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
West Virginia (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.1–11.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 53% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson | 8.1–19.9 | 5% | 6% |
| West Virginia | 18.1–11.9 | 3% | 53% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Stetson and West Virginia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Stetson have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).