NCAAB
South Carolina State
South Carolina Upstate
Win Probability
South Carolina State travels to South Carolina Upstate in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The projection hinges on perimeter shooting: if South Carolina State's guards can sustain efficient three-point volume, they close the gap, but Upstate's depth gives the hosts the stronger position. On games with a similar win-probability distribution across 8 past matchups, the favored side won 4 times. South Carolina Upstate would need to execute at the offensive glass and limit transition opportunities to keep their advantage intact; anything less invites a closer contest than the model suggests.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UPST | EV | SCST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -205 | +0.4% | +170 | -6.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -192 | +1.6% | +158 | -8.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -200 | +0.8% | +165 | -7.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | -195 | +1.3% | +162 | -7.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -200 | +0.8% | +170 | -6.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 67.8%
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AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina Upstate 68% to beat South Carolina State (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina Upstate the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Carolina Upstate a 68% chance of beating South Carolina State, against 32% for South Carolina State. South Carolina Upstate are at home and favoured on these numbers.
South Carolina State project to finish 9.1–18.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Carolina Upstate (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.1–18.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State | 9.1–18.9 | 7% | 7% |
| South Carolina Upstate | 10.1–18.9 | 2% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How South Carolina State and South Carolina Upstate come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
South Carolina Upstate have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).