Coppin State
George Mason
Win Probability
Coppin State travels to face George Mason in a game where the simulation strongly favours the home side. George Mason's depth will be tested early; the model projects Mason's scoring in the low 80s while Coppin State struggles to reach 56 points. On games shaped this decisively in the model's favour across similar matchups, the favoured side won all eight. The game turns on whether Coppin State can generate enough offensive volume to stay competitive, a steep ask given the projected scoring gap. For Coppin State to pull off the upset, it would need to exceed its projected output substantially while holding George Mason well below its simulation mark.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | GMU | EV | COPP | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -27.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -27.5 | -112 | -4.7% | -108 | +0.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -27.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | -28 | -110 | -5.8% | -110 | +1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -28.5 | -105 | -6.5% | -115 | +1.8% |
| Book | GMU | EV | COPP | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.0% | +3300 | -34.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 140.5 | -115 | -8.8% | -105 | +4.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -7.9% | -110 | +3.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -7.9% | -110 | +3.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 140 | -110 | -6.6% | -110 | +2.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -7.9% | -110 | +3.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 52.1%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes George Mason 99% to beat Coppin State (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes George Mason the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives George Mason a 99% chance of beating Coppin State, against 1% for Coppin State. George Mason are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Coppin State (0-1 so far) project to finish 5.9–23.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
George Mason (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.8–11.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 22% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coppin State | 5.9–23.1 | 2% | 3% |
| George Mason | 19.8–11.2 | 9% | 22% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Coppin State and George Mason come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.