Robert Morris
UIC
Win Probability
Robert Morris travels to UIC in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Flames project to win by double digits, with the visiting Colonials facing an uphill climb on the road. UIC's offense will be central to the outcome; the simulation gives the home team 76.4 points and expects Robert Morris to struggle to 66.2. On games shaped this way in the past, AccuScore's favored side won 92 percent of the time. For Robert Morris to pull off the upset, the Colonials would need to break that pattern and find enough perimeter shooting to keep pace with UIC's projected scoring load.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UIC | EV | RMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -10.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -9.5 | -110 | -0.2% | -110 | -4.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10.5 | -105 | -2.4% | -115 | -2.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10.5 | -105 | -2.4% | -115 | -2.1% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -10.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -114 | -1.9% |
| Book | UIC | EV | RMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -625 | -3.3% | +455 | +3.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -500 | -1.6% | +365 | -4.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -588 | -2.8% | +425 | +0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -588 | -2.8% | +430 | +1.4% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -625 | -3.3% | +425 | +0.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -6.8% | -105 | +2.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.4% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 143.5 | -109 | -5.7% | -114 | +0.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes UIC 81% to beat Robert Morris (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UIC the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UIC a 81% chance of beating Robert Morris, against 19% for Robert Morris. UIC are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Robert Morris (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UIC project to finish 17.4–12.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris | 15.1–15.9 | 10% | 9% |
| UIC | 17.4–12.6 | 13% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Robert Morris and UIC come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.