Texas Southern
LSU
Win Probability
Moneyline
TXSO
0.3% win prob
Moneyline
LSU
99.7% win prob
Texas Southern travels to face LSU in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. AccuScore projects a dominant performance from LSU, driven by depth across its roster; the Tigers' interior presence and perimeter scoring should overwhelm Texas Southern's capacity to keep pace. Closing the gap depends entirely on Texas Southern's ability to generate stops, since the projection hinges on LSU's offensive efficiency. On games where the model has leaned this heavily toward one side, that team won 97 percent of the time across 513 graded contests. For Texas Southern to stay competitive, it would need to force turnovers and limit second chances—two areas where the numbers suggest it will struggle most.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | LSU | EV | TXSO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -35.5 | -115 | -15.6% | -105 | +11.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -34.5 | -120 | -13.4% | -102 | +9.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | -35.5 | -110 | -14.9% | -110 | +10.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -36 | -110 | -16.3% | -110 | +11.9% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -35.5 | -120 | -16.3% | -105 | +11.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 161.5 | -112 | -4.5% | -108 | -0.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 161.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 161.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 162 | -110 | -5.2% | -110 | +0.7% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 162.5 | -112 | -6.7% | -112 | +1.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 63.2%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes LSU 100% to beat Texas Southern (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes LSU the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives LSU a 100% chance of beating Texas Southern, against 0% for Texas Southern. LSU are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Texas Southern (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.4–16.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
LSU (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.5–15.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 41% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern | 12.4–16.6 | 11% | 12% |
| LSU | 16.5–15.5 | 1% | 41% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Texas Southern and LSU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Texas Southern have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).