Southern Illinois
Kansas City
Win Probability
Southern Illinois travels to Kansas City in a matchup where the model clearly favours the Salukis. The simulation hinges on offensive efficiency: Southern Illinois projects to 72.4 points while Kansas City sits at 68.5, a gap that reflects where the game will likely be decided. On games shaped like this one—where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the visiting side—the favoured team won 68% of the time across 2,158 graded contests. Kansas City would need to tighten its defence and limit the Salukis' scoring opportunities to pull off the upset at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | KC | EV | SIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | -105 | -14.9% | -115 | +9.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | -102 | -14.4% | -120 | +8.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1.5 | +100 | -14.0% | -120 | +8.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +1 | -115 | -12.9% | -105 | +9.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | +1.5 | -120 | -12.6% | -105 | +7.8% |
| Book | KC | EV | SIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -110 | -13.4% | -110 | +8.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -114 | -14.1% | -105 | +10.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -115 | -14.2% | -105 | +10.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -110 | -13.4% | -110 | +8.9% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -103 | -12.3% | -122 | +6.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -11.1% | -110 | +6.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -11.1% | -110 | +6.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 143.5 | -105 | -10.2% | -115 | +5.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -11.1% | -110 | +6.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 144.5 | -106 | -12.6% | -118 | +6.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.7%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Southern Illinois 62% to beat Kansas City (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Southern Illinois the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kansas City a 38% chance of beating Southern Illinois, against 62% for Southern Illinois. Kansas City are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Southern Illinois project to finish 16.8–12.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kansas City (0-1 so far) project to finish 8.3–19.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Illinois | 16.8–12.2 | 12% | 16% |
| Kansas City | 8.3–19.7 | 2% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Southern Illinois and Kansas City come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.