Central Arkansas
Ole Miss
Win Probability
Central Arkansas travels to face Ole Miss in a matchup that AccuScore's simulation decisively favours the home side. The Rebels' depth will likely prove decisive: Ilias Kamardine has a 47% chance of exceeding 23 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Corey Stephenson projects at 48% to clear 22. Central Arkansas will lean heavily on Ty Robinson, who has a 50% chance of surpassing 20 combined, though that may not suffice against Ole Miss's balanced attack. AccuScore's model has favoured the home team this strongly in 513 graded games, winning 97% of them. For Central Arkansas to pull the upset, its supporting cast would need to outperform projections significantly while holding Ole Miss's secondary contributors well below their expected contributions.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | MISS | EV | CARK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -18.5 | -105 | -5.4% | -115 | +0.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -18.5 | -104 | -5.2% | -118 | +0.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -18.5 | -105 | -5.4% | -115 | +0.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | -18.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -18.5 | -105 | -5.4% | -115 | +0.8% |
| Book | MISS | EV | CARK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2500 | -1.9% | +1300 | +2.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -5000 | -2.8% | +1400 | +6.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -2500 | -1.9% | +1150 | -3.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -5000 | -2.8% | +1800 | +21.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -3333 | -2.4% | +1150 | -3.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -5.6% | -105 | +1.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -4.7% | -110 | +0.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 54.3%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Ole Miss 93% to beat Central Arkansas (8%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ole Miss the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Ole Miss a 93% chance of beating Central Arkansas, against 8% for Central Arkansas. Ole Miss are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Central Arkansas (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.3–11.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Ole Miss (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.9–13.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 43% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas | 16.3–11.7 | 32% | 26% |
| Ole Miss | 16.9–13.1 | 2% | 43% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Central Arkansas and Ole Miss come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Central Arkansas have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).