NCAAB
Eastern Illinois
Iowa
Win Probability
Eastern Illinois travels to Iowa for a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Hawkeyes. In 50,000 simulations, Iowa's advantage proved overwhelming—on games shaped this strongly, AccuScore's favored side has won 97% of the time across 513 graded matchups. Eastern Illinois will need to limit the damage on the glass and force turnovers to have any path to staying competitive; how efficiently Iowa executes its offensive sets will likely determine the margin. The Hawkeyes' depth and offensive consistency project to wear down a visiting Panthers team over 40 minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | IOWA | EV | EIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -35.5 | -105 | -8.3% | -115 | +3.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -35.5 | -110 | -9.2% | -110 | +4.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -35.5 | -105 | -8.3% | -115 | +3.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -35.5 | -105 | -8.3% | -115 | +3.6% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -35.5 | -108 | -8.9% | -115 | +3.6% |
| Book | IOWA | EV | EIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.4% | +3300 | -46.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 135.5 | -112 | -0.8% | -108 | -3.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 135.5 | -115 | -1.4% | -105 | -3.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 135.5 | -110 | -0.4% | -110 | -4.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 135.5 | -110 | -0.4% | -110 | -4.2% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 136.5 | -112 | -3.2% | -112 | -2.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 57.3%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Iowa 100% to beat Eastern Illinois (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Iowa the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Iowa a 100% chance of beating Eastern Illinois, against 0% for Eastern Illinois. Iowa are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Eastern Illinois (0-1 so far) project to finish 8.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Iowa (1-0 so far) project to finish 20.3–11.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 69% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Illinois | 8.9–19.1 | 4% | 4% |
| Iowa | 20.3–11.7 | 4% | 69% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Eastern Illinois and Iowa come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Eastern Illinois have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2022: Eastern Illinois 1, Iowa 0. The last meeting, on Dec 21, 2022, finished Eastern Illinois 92, Iowa 83.