Omaha
BYU
Win Probability
When Omaha visits BYU, the simulation favours the home side decisively. BYU's depth should control the pace: the model projects the Cougars will score nearly 96 points, while holding Omaha to 64. On games shaped this strongly in AccuScore's history, the favoured side won 97% of the time. For Omaha to pull the upset, the Mules would need to stay within shooting distance through the second half and force late possessions—but BYU's scoring projection suggests they'll build separation early and maintain it.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | BYU | EV | OMA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -32.5 | -112 | -7.3% | -108 | +2.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -32.5 | -110 | -6.9% | -110 | +2.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -32.5 | -115 | -7.8% | -105 | +3.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | -33 | -110 | -8.2% | -110 | +3.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -32.5 | -115 | -7.8% | -105 | +3.6% |
| Book | BYU | EV | OMA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.2% | +3300 | -39.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 161.5 | -105 | -5.1% | -115 | +0.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 160.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 161.5 | -105 | -5.1% | -115 | +0.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 161.5 | -110 | -6.1% | -110 | +1.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 161.5 | -110 | -6.1% | -110 | +1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 54.9%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes BYU 99% to beat Omaha (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes BYU the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives BYU a 99% chance of beating Omaha, against 1% for Omaha. BYU are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Omaha project to finish 8.6–17.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
BYU (1-0 so far) project to finish 21.1–8.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 77% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Omaha and BYU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.