Oakland
Stanford
Win Probability
When Oakland travels to Stanford, the simulation strongly favours the host. Oakland will need to stay close on the glass and limit turnovers to have a chance; Stanford's depth should control both. Over 50,000 simulations, AccuScore's model projects a 14-point margin, with the Cardinal's interior presence the decisive factor. On games shaped like this one, the favoured side has won 92% of the time. For Oakland to pull the upset, the Cardinal would need an uncharacteristically poor shooting night while the visitors execute at peak efficiency.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | STAN | EV | OAK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -13.5 | -115 | -6.3% | -105 | +2.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -13.5 | -120 | -7.2% | -102 | +2.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -13.5 | -115 | -6.3% | -105 | +2.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | -13.5 | -110 | -5.4% | -110 | +0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -13.5 | -115 | -6.3% | -105 | +2.0% |
| Book | STAN | EV | OAK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1250 | -2.7% | +750 | +2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1429 | -3.1% | +810 | +6.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1250 | -2.7% | +725 | +1.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | -1111 | -2.3% | +700 | -0.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1250 | -2.7% | +750 | +2.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -108 | +2.1% | -112 | -6.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | +1.6% | -110 | -6.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | +1.6% | -110 | -6.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | +1.6% | -110 | -6.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | +1.6% | -110 | -6.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 53.3%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Stanford 88% to beat Oakland (12%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Stanford the more likely winner at 88%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Stanford a 88% chance of beating Oakland, against 12% for Oakland. Stanford are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Oakland (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.6–17.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Stanford (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.4–13.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Oakland and Stanford come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.