North Florida
UCLA
Win Probability
North Florida travels to face UCLA in a game where the simulation strongly favors the Bruins. AccuScore's model has called games shaped like this one correctly in 97 of its last 100 attempts. The outcome hinges on UCLA's offensive efficiency: the Bruins are projected to score in the low 90s, a mark they will need to sustain against a North Florida team that the model expects to struggle significantly on both ends. For the Ospreys to pull off an upset, they would need to slow UCLA's tempo substantially and convert at a rate well above their projected ceiling.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UCLA | EV | UNF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -34.5 | -105 | -10.0% | -115 | +5.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -33.5 | -118 | -9.4% | -104 | +5.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -34.5 | -105 | -10.0% | -115 | +5.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | -34 | -110 | -9.4% | -110 | +5.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -34.5 | -105 | -10.0% | -115 | +5.2% |
| Book | UCLA | EV | UNF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.2% | +3300 | -39.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -112 | -0.0% | -108 | -4.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -2.0% | -110 | -2.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 155.5 | -115 | -0.6% | -105 | -3.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 156 | -110 | -0.7% | -110 | -3.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | +0.4% | -110 | -4.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 59.0%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes UCLA 99% to beat North Florida (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UCLA the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UCLA a 99% chance of beating North Florida, against 1% for North Florida. UCLA are at home and favoured on these numbers.
North Florida (1-0 so far) project to finish 11.7–17.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UCLA (1-0 so far) project to finish 21.0–10.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 76% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida | 11.7–17.3 | 7% | 8% |
| UCLA | 21.0–10.0 | 6% | 76% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How North Florida and UCLA come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
North Florida have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).