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NCAAB

Northern Colorado vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Fri, Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sat, Nov 7 • 2:00 AM
UNCO

Northern Colorado

VS
ASU

Arizona State

Win Probability

Moneyline

UNCO

8.9% win prob

Moneyline

ASU

91.1% win prob

Analysis

Arizona State hosts Northern Colorado in a game where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The Sun Devils' depth will likely prove decisive; AccuScore projects them to score in the low 80s, while the Bears are expected in the mid-60s. Northern Colorado's path to an upset runs through perimeter shooting and forcing Arizona State into extended possessions, but the gap in projected scoring is substantial. On games shaped this way historically, the favored side won 97 percent of the time across 513 graded matchups. For the Bears to pull off the result, they would need to keep pace offensively—a steep climb against a team the model expects to dominate.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadASU -15.5
15.5-16.75-49
UNCO Cover
49.0%
no odds at this line
ASU Cover
51.0%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 147.5
108.5149.25190
Over Cover
49.5%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
50.5%
no odds at this line

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

14.9%UNCO
Tied 2.9%
ASU82.2%
1st Half SpreadASU -9
11-9-29
UNCO Cover
47.5%
no odds at this line
ASU Cover
48.0%
no odds at this line
Push 4.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 70
507090
Over Cover
47.6%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.8%
no odds at this line
Push 3.6% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

ASU UNCO
Sort:

Betting Splits

Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.

Moneyline
Sportsbooks
UNCO
2% · 0%
ASU
98% · 100%
Total
Sportsbooks
Over
80% · 63%
Under
20% · 37%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona State 91% to beat Northern Colorado (9%).

Projection updated Nov 6, 3:50 PM ET

Who will win Northern Colorado vs Arizona State?

AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona State the more likely winner at 91%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Arizona State beat Northern Colorado?

AccuScore's simulation gives Arizona State a 91% chance of beating Northern Colorado, against 9% for Northern Colorado. Arizona State are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Northern Colorado vs Arizona State meeting →Northern Colorado predictions & record →Arizona State predictions & record →

Season outlook

Northern Colorado project to finish 15.7–11.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Arizona State (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Northern Colorado15.7–11.323%20%
Arizona State16.1–15.91%26%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Northern Colorado and Arizona State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Arizona StateW
  • Nov 2vs East Tennessee StateW 75–65

Arizona State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).