NCAAB
Cal State Northridge
Kansas State
Win Probability
Moneyline
CSUN
17.1% win prob
Moneyline
KSU
82.9% win prob
Cal State Northridge travels to face Kansas State in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The Wildcats' depth in the backcourt will be crucial; the model projects Kansas State's guards to control pace and shot selection, with ball movement likely to determine whether the visitors can stay within range. On the road, Cal State Northridge will need three-point shooting to keep pace—the simulation has the teams separated by 11 points, hinging on whether the Matadors can generate enough perimeter scoring to offset Kansas State's advantages inside. In games where AccuScore's model has favored one side this decisively, that side won 92 percent of the time across 760 graded contests. A Matadors upset would require both a shooting night above projection and defensive pressure that Kansas State has rarely faced.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
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AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas State 83% to beat Cal State Northridge (17%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas State the more likely winner at 83%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kansas State a 83% chance of beating Cal State Northridge, against 17% for Cal State Northridge. Kansas State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Cal State Northridge (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kansas State (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.3–17.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge | 14.3–15.7 | 7% | 7% |
| Kansas State | 12.3–17.7 | <1% | 12% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Cal State Northridge and Kansas State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cal State Northridge have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Kansas State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).