NCAAB
Colorado
San Diego State
Win Probability
Moneyline
COLO
40.6% win prob
Moneyline
SDSU
59.4% win prob
San Diego State hosts Colorado in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. The game hinges on perimeter shooting: Colorado's Isaiah Elohim projects to exceed 35% from three with a 54% chance, while San Diego State's Jaedon LeDee has a 61% chance of surpassing his three-point line. In the 6,691 graded games where the model favored one side this moderately, that side won 57% of the time. For Colorado to pull off the upset on the road, it would need to convert at an elite rate from distance while containing San Diego State's scoring depth.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
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AccuScore's simulation makes San Diego State 59% to beat Colorado (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes San Diego State the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Diego State a 59% chance of beating Colorado, against 41% for Colorado. San Diego State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Colorado (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.1–13.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 36% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
San Diego State (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.5–9.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 44% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 17.1–13.9 | 2% | 36% |
| San Diego State | 17.5–9.5 | 13% | 44% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Colorado and San Diego State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Diego State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).