NCAAB
Nebraska
Providence
Win Probability
Moneyline
NEB
67.7% win prob
Moneyline
PROV
32.3% win prob
Nebraska travels to Providence as a clear favourite in this matchup. The simulation leans strongly toward the Cornhuskers, who project to win a closer game than their win probability might suggest. Nebraska's offensive firepower will be central to the outcome; the team's leading scorers are projected to combine for enough production to push past Providence's defence. On games shaped like this one—where the model favours a side this decisively—that side has won 68% of the time across 2,158 graded contests. For Providence to pull the upset at home, they would need to slow Nebraska's scoring attack and protect the ball; even a slight edge in ball security could keep the Friars within striking distance.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
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AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska 68% to beat Providence (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Providence a 32% chance of beating Nebraska, against 68% for Nebraska. Providence are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Nebraska (1-0 so far) project to finish 22.0–10.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 77% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Providence (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 35% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska | 22.0–10.0 | 6% | 77% |
| Providence | 16.2–13.8 | 4% | 35% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Nebraska and Providence come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.